Still don't bet on Tampa

The Tampa Bay Rays have certainly moved up in the world. Last year the Rays faced some of the longest odds in baseball in terms of winning the world series. Many sports books had the Rays between 150/1 and 200/1. This year, Bodog has Tampa at 18/1 odds.

The Yankees, at 4/1, are odds-on favorites. The Red Sox follow with 13/2 odds. That means Bodog doesn't expect Tampa to make the playoffs.

In the National League, the Cubs own the best odds at 17/2 with the Phillies coming in second at 14/1.

Romero saga strange

Not only did MLB suspend Phillies pitcher J.C. Romero for a banned steroid that wasn't on the bottle of his supplement of choice, the league also attempted to stop him from playing in the World Series.

But if MLB had its druthers, Romero never would have thrown a pitch in the postseason. A first-time positive test carries a 50-game suspension, which may be appealed. Aware that an appeal process would last well into the postseason and push any suspension back to opening day 2009, baseball took an unusual step and offered to cut Romero's suspension in half to prevent him from playing in the postseason.

"We generally do not negotiate discipline in the drug area," Manfred said. "If he appealed it would go beyond the World Series. We offered to reduce the suspension to avoid him being in the World Series.

"I think a scientist will tell you that the [banned] substance was no longer in [Romero's] system, but the appearance of it - you prefer to avoid. With any drug program, the goal is to remove the athlete as quickly as possible."

Asked if he believed the Phils' World Series title was tainted, Manfred said "No."

Why all the odd and special treatment in this case? Baseball never seemed quick to suspend a player in the past. Appeals almost always drag on for days and weeks.

Verducci on Bud's Bungle

Tom Verducci backs the commissioner's decision-making on Monday night.

Give credit to commissioner Bud Selig and the umpires working World Series Game 5. They did their best to get the game played, given the weather forecast information available to them, made the right call to suspend the game when conditions grew unplayable -- the pelting rain continued for hours -- and sent people home quickly without wasting time trying to divine when the next "window" might be available to resume play. Too often we jump on baseball when things don't go according to script. But Selig has stepped up twice in this World Series with the right response to rain issues. He insisted Game 3 be played, even with a 10:06 p.m. start time after a 91-minute delay, in part because he knew of the terrible conditions forecast for Tuesday, the next available off day. The game was played in fine weather and field conditions.

Perhaps, but the game could've easily been suspended in the fifth. I talked to a meteorologist about the rain system moving through the Northeast. He told me it would intensify and last through the rest of Monday, easily. There's no way this game should've been pushed through to the bottom of the fifth and beyond.

Bud is bad, Buck is bad

I count lots of anti-Bud stories today. Selig is really getting thrown under the bus for last night's nonsense. As Ken Rosenthal said, it's the freaking World Series! Get it right!

Bud Selig makes a bad call for baseball
Thank god the Rays scored, and that Bud Selig is a boob
Selig and company all wet when it comes to Series scheduling

And Joe Buck takes some well-deserved heat as well:
Joe Buck is a freaking MORON

There's been a lot of bad at this World Series.

Umpires striking out

OK, I'm finally going to cave and write up the umpiring in this series. The biggest calls, or non-calls have gone against the Rays, but there have been many mistakes. Home plate umpire Jeff Kellogg had a different strike zone for every batter. For Pat Burrell, there was no strike zone.

Muddy decision making

You go, Ken Rosenthal. I can barely stomach you with a microphone in your hand, but when you pick up a pen, or your blackberry, or a laptop, or whatever it is you used to write this, you do well, sir.

World Series games should never, ever be played in conditions that compromise the integrity of the competition.

That's what happened Monday night, no matter how commissioner Bud Selig wants to spin it. Selig again was in something of a no-win position because of inaccurate weather forecasts. But he should have halted Game 5 much sooner.

Instead, the game was not suspended until after the top of the sixth inning, an inning in which the Rays tied the score, 2-2, with standing water in the infield.

I can't read the mind of Phillies manager Charlie Manuel, but I'm willing to bet that he didn't speak to the media afterward because he believes his team still should be leading, 2-1.

Not only was I disappointed with the decision to play on, it was a disservice to the two teams. Baseball waited until Tampa Bay tied the game so they didn't have to face a potential short-game nightmare in the clinching game of a World Series. Here's an idea: don't allow 5-inning World Series games! Postpone them at worst. Finish them the next day. You're doing that now, anyway, with mud on your face.

Rays win game two, 4-2.

The Phillies continue to leave valuable runners on base, and the Rays found ways to scratch out runs, as Tampa grinds out a 4-2 win in game two.

The Rays scored on two ground outs, a single and a safety squeeze, putting four on the board before Eric Bruntlett homered for the Phils in the eighth. Philly pushed across one more on an Evan Longoria error in the 9th, but it was too late for a comeback.

Good pitching from "Big Game" James Shields. While he wasn't as dominant as Cole Hamels in game one, Shields struck out four and scatted seven hits over 5 2/3 innings. He threw 104 pitches in less than six innings, but didn't allow a run.

Mark Grace called this a "must win" for the Rays before the game. It certainly looked that way going in, and now with Matt Garza scheduled to face Jamie Moyer in game three this series could go either direction.

Update: For more on Charlie Manuel's selection of Moyer as game three starter, Baseball Musings breaks it down.

Diamond rough estimates

Diamond Mind baseball predicts that the Tampa Bay Rays will win the World Series. Out of 2,000 simulations, the game predicts Tampa Bay to win 1,414 times. Good luck, Phillies.

Maddon out of context

One more note out of the Chicago Tribune today. Phil Rogers scolds Rays manager Joe Maddon for this comment:

"Of course, if we had won it, we'd be in the World Series by now," Maddon said. "We'll just have to wait one more day, hopefully, to get that done."

He meant one more game, as Friday was a travel day. And he did add an important qualifier with the word "hopefully." But still …

When your team gets as close to the World Series as the Rays were—seven outs away, seven-run lead—and then unravels, the task ahead is about a lot more than waiting "one more day."

The Red Sox had to wait 18 years to get it right after that grounder went between Bill Buckner's legs in Game 6 at Shea Stadium. The Cleveland Indians are at 11 years and counting since Jose Mesa couldn't hold a lead over Florida in Game 7 of the World Series.

Then there are the Cubs. They are at 79 years and counting since failing to protect an eight-run lead in Game 4 of the 1929 World Series —the last time anyone lost a bigger lead than the 7-0 margin Maddon's Rays held in the seventh inning.

They are at 24 years and counting since the grounder went through Leon Durham's legs in San Diego. They are at five years and counting since Florida's eight-run eighth inning in 2003.

OK, I get it. There have been precipitous falls after meltdowns like the Rays had in game five. Maddon, however, was merely stating that his team is in good position to clinch in the next game. What do you want him to say? The sky is falling? I think this is a non-issue, and the article is better left unwritten.

Political delay for game six

Forget rain delays, we'll potentially experience our first political delay for this year's World Series. Barack Obama's campaign has a deal with Major League Baseball in place for a 15-minute ad that will push back the start time of game six of the World Series from 8:22 p.m. to 8:35 p.m., or later.

This massive hypothetical inconvenience to the world of baseball fans is notable for a few reasons. First, this would be the first time a network has moved the start time for an event back due to political advertising. Second, the World Series will likely involve the Phillies (already in) and the Tampa Bay Rays, both of whom sit in key swing states in this election; whether the Obama campaign will be willing to take the marginal risk of offending the public of either state in exchange for "roadblock" coverage on all four major networks for their ad is a legitimate question. ("Roadblock" meaning on all four majors at once, meaning you'll have to flip to the Food Network for a few minutes to get away from it.)

I have to say, this is probably a good move on Obama's part, especially considering that a very small segment of the audience will be upset by a later start time. Game six is no guarantee, however, so John McCain should work on snapping up games one through five, asap.