Wednesday, January 7, 2009

Cubs, Peavy might still be possible

Jim Hendry made it clear in a Tuesday conference call that he's not done looking for starting pitching. The obvious question - is Hendry still working to acquire San Diego dynamo Jake Peavy?
The biggest payroll obstacle in taking on the $63 million Peavy is guaranteed for the life of his contract remains the Cubs' 2010 projections. None of the payroll-clearing deals of the last week did anything for 2010, and that means the flexibility to add Peavy probably doesn't exist without a nod from the team's new ownership group.

Selection of a winning bid for the club is said to be close -- perhaps by the end of next week -- and that might be just in time for the Cubs' front office to make a deal before spring training.

Also, the Cubs acquired three well-regarded pitching prospects from the Cleveland Indians in the Mark DeRosa trade last week, giving them deeper reserves of young talent to help pull off a trade.

But the biggest impediment to a deal might be the Padres' willingness to trade their ace, considering their own potential sale to Jeff Moorad's group of investors. Under financial pressures related to a divorce, the Padres' owners had ordered payroll cuts that led to aggressive shopping of Peavy. Some have speculated Moorad won't want to trade one of the team's most valuable commodities.

If Hendry can't land Peavy, plenty of free-agent pitchers remain on the market, although Derek Lowe is pricing himself beyond reason. Productive innings-eaters such as Braden Looper and Tim Redding more likely would fit the Cubs' needs.
On the conference call, Hendry did not indicate that ownership would allow him to spend more money, but he did say the Cubs are no longer positioning themselves against teams in their division. Hendry said the team is aiming higher than that these days. He might be asking for the extra money. Looper, Redding, et al just won't cut it in Chicago these days.

Brewers closing in on closers

The ongoing saga that is the Milwaukee Brewers bullpen continues to twist in the wind. Rumors of Trevor Hoffman blowing in from San Diego were one thing. Now, from the East, like a cold Nor'easter comes injury-ravanged Chad Cordero into the conversation.
The Brewers have been tracking his rehabilitation since the Washington Nationals nontendered Cordero last month, and have already seen him throw at least once.

The Brewers have been linked to Cordero before, once rejecting a trade offer that would have sent Cordero to Milwaukee for second baseman Rickie Weeks during the 2007 Winter Meetings. That was at the height of his run as the Nationals' closer, a four-year period from 2003-07 in which Cordero notched 127 saves. Along the way, before his 26th birthday, he became the second-youngest player in Major League history to reach the 100-save plateau (Francisco Rodriguez owns that title, recording his 100th save as a 25-year-old).
I understand the attraction, but hasn't Milwaukee learned about shaky closers from their 2008 mess at the back of the bullpen? Eric Gagne and company proved more to be stooges than musketeers or even amigos. Now Brewers candidates Hoffman (aging) and Cordero (injured) offer them little in terms of probable stability at a position that demands it. Good luck!

Cap hall of fame voting

ESPN's Jim Caple makes a weak plug for Bert Blyleven's election to the baseball hall of fame. It isn't strong enough. Blyleven is not a hall of famer in my mind.

Here's an idea: rather than allow revisionist history to decide who does or doesn't make it to the hall, lets cap hall of fame voting for a period of 15 years after a player leaves baseball. That gives voters 10 years to decide whether a player is worthy of Cooperstown. What better a time to deem a player hall-worthy than the 15 years following his career? His performance is still fresh in voters' minds, not faded like the yellowing papers and anachronistic yesteryear statistics voters have to mull over to elect players they've never seen.

The debates on older players like Blyleven and Ron Santo are tiresome. Let's move on.

A's get a C for this move

I'm not quite sure what the A's are thinking bringing in both Jason Giambi and Matt Holliday as it seems a divergent path from GM Billy Beane's "Moneyball" philosophy, but hey, it's interesting to see Oakland acquire veterans rather than trade them away. Here's one explanation from the San Francisco chronicle on the Giambi move:
The Giambi signing, though, is as useful for the team's twin goals in 2009 - to score four runs per game and to actually have recognizable human beings doing so. There is, as Lew Wolff will tell you, nothing worse in the game than players you don't know doing not enough to make you care.

And because he costs one-fifth the current asking (but not taking) price Ramirez is demanding, Giambi can fail in Oakland by being only one or more of the following three things:

-- Finished as a hitter.

-- Nostalgic for the Yankees.

-- Caught wearing the gold thong in front of his locker.

We're not sure if the signing is fully and solely Beane's idea, although it does have that Frank Thomas/remainder bin feel to it.
Ah, yes. Frank Thomas. I forgot Beane brought Fading Frank to town, too.

Fantasy Impact: It's a stretch to say Giambi is no longer productive, but an even bigger stretch to believe he's still a top fantasy performer. He's productive, but he can really hurt you in batting average. An even further slide by the 34-year-old-to-be could be disasterous if taken too early in a fantasy draft. Giambi is probably most safely taken just outside of the first 8 rounds.

Marquis' Rockies role

The Cubs trade of Jason Marquis for Luis Vizcaino is little more than a salary dump for the Cubs, who acquire a potential setup-type reliever in Vizcaino. Marquis, who earns $9.8 million in 2009, was just to expensive to keep.

Fantasy Impact: Despite his mediocre 4.55 career ERA, Marquis always seems to find a way to win. He's always played for winners, and that helps. If the Rockies can recapture a little magic from 2007, Marquis might be a nice pickup for a fantasy team as a spot starter who is likely to beat lower-end teams on a regular basis.

Vizcaino is nothing more than a middle-reliever. The Cubs have both Carlos Marmol and Kevin Gregg to handle closing duties.

Join the dark side

When Beltway Boy Mark Teixeira officialy joined the Bronx Bombers on Tuesday, he may have burned his bridge to hometown Baltimore forever. Then he turned the screws in that coffin even tighter, saying he used to wear a Yankees cap to Orioles games as a child.
"You know what the coolest part is going to be?" he said. "I'm going to get a chance to be the first first baseman that the Yankees have in the new stadium. And, you know, the Bleacher Bums in right are going to do the roll call. That's going to be pretty sweet. Hopefully, we're going to be four games up in the division at the time, and are already rolling, and the fans here in New York will be pumped."
Sounds like a kid on Christmas.

Fantasy Impact: Teixeira hitting left-handed at New Yankee Stadium should benefit from the short porch in right field. He's a special talent, albeit a streaky one. His draft stock has to go up in any draft considering the talent that will be around him. Expect a .300-110-35-120 line from him by season's end.

Mistakes by lake?

The Cleveland Indians are assembling the all-what-if free agents. Kerry Wood, Mark DeRosa and now pitcher Carl Pavano give Cleveland a threesome of as many questions as answers heading into spring training.

Wood established himself as a closer last year, but there will always be health qustions with him. Can DeRosa's career year with the Cubs be replicated in 2009? Pavano is a health nightmare. Somebody must own a voodoo doll of him.
The Yankees paid $39.95 million to Pavano, who made just 26 starts in four seasons because of injuries. His contract with the Indians includes incentives beginning with his 18th start and can grow to $5.3 million.

Pavano had reconstructive elbow surgery in 2007, when he was the unlikely opening-day starter for the Yankees after missing a full season. He returned last August and went 4-2 with a 5.77 earned run average in seven starts.

“He feels he’s in tremendous shape,” O’Connell said. “The Cleveland people were very impressed with his physique. He’s as strong as an ox.”
Strong like bull, but brittle like peanut brittle.

Fantasy Impact: Wood and DeRosa can put up solid numbers. Wood will get his 35 saves in Cleveland while DeRosa's versatility makes him attractive as a utility player. Pavano is an intriguing X-factor. Draft him late, hoping he can become a very low-cost 5th starter.