Sunday, January 11, 2009

Barnett on Texas radio

Dave Barnett joined the Texas Rangers radio broadcast team. Barnett does a nice job, although he seems slightly surprised by everything that happens during a game. That's better than Rangers TV play-by-play man Josh Lewin, who just seems constantly overwhelmed.

No Marlins deal, so Pedro to Mets?

Pedro Martinez will not be pitching for the Florida Marlins in 2009.
On Saturday night, a report on ESPNdeportes.com stated the Marlins had discussions with agent Fernando Cuza regarding Martinez. The report added Florida may have begun preliminary contract talks, and that the two sides were expected to continue talking this week.

As of late Sunday afternoon, the Marlins were not considered a possible fit.

Martinez has a home in Miami, and he has expressed privately a desire to pitch for the Marlins. On Monday, Cuza is expected to have discussions with the Mets about a possible return to New York. The right-hander also is expected to test the free-agent market.

Hampered by injuries last year, Martinez was 5-6 with a 5.61 ERA in 20 starts. He threw 109 innings.
It's either Pedro was asking for too much, or Florida doesn't believe he's healthy, because they need some help in the rotation. Sergio Mitre is out for 50 games, and that means the Marlins can use a live arm. Maybe Pedro doesn't have one, or at least not enough of one.

Coming to america

Lose a long-standing ace (John Smoltz), sign a Japanese ace (Kenshin Kawakami). Kawakami brings a ton of success to Atlanta.
Kawakami, the 2004 Central League Most Valuable Player, has a 112-82 career record with a 3.22ERA in 11 seasons in Japan. He was 9-5 with a 2.30ERA for the Chunichi Dragons in 2008, despite missing several weeks with a back strain.

The 5-foot-10 right-hander would be an important addition to a Braves rotation that will be without John Smoltz, who has reached a preliminary agreement with the Boston Red Sox on a one-year, $5.5 million contract.
Smoltz certainly has a better track record in MLB than Kawakami, who's never thrown a pitch on North American soil. Having good stuff, despite his diminutive frame, expect Kawakami to succeed like many other Japanese aces.

Thursday, January 8, 2009

Broxton is closer material

If Jonathan Broxton is the Dodgers closer this year, is that such a bad thing? Losing out in the Trevor Hoffman sweepstakes might leave the Dodgers with less depth in the 'pen, but Broxton is strong and talented. He's certainly more than capable of handling the closer role.

Broxton struck out 88 batters in 69 IP in 2008. He saved 14 games while filling in as closer. He's a no-brainer to star in the position with his 3.02 ERA and a 1.174 WHIP last season.

If you can't beat 'em...

Sign away their players. Boston, out-hustled for first in the American League East by the Tampa Bay Rays and then again in the ALCS, will sign former Rays outfielder Rocco Baldelli. He'll play a backup role.
The Red Sox have been looking for a right-handed hitting fourth outfielder this offseason but their interest in Baldelli was tempered by the mitochondrial disorder from which the Cumberland, R.I., product was believed to have suffered. The disease causes a person to tire more easily and recover more slowly.

A re-evaluation this offseason determined Baldelli suffers from a less serious and more treatable form of channelopathy.
Hard to call Baldelli a difference-maker for the BoSox, but if he's healthy, he's pretty good. His loss won't break the Rays, who were without his services save for a month of games last season.

Fantasy Impact: He's a sleeper. Baldelli is considered a talent, but his health issues hold him back. Don't draft him, but don't leave him off your radar, either.

Brewers sign Hoffman

The Brewers sign closer Trevor Hoffman to a one-year $6M deal.

Hoffman's numbers aren't what they were in the early part of his fabled career, but he's averaged over 50 appearances the past five seasons. The 41-year-old struck out 38 batters in 45.1 IP in 2008, and while he saved just 30 games, that total should go up on a winning team.

Fantasy Impact: Hoffman's getting up there in age, and he's not nearly as dominant as he once was. He's still Trevor Hoffman, however, and he's better than any option the Brewers had last year. Expect Hoffman to save over 30 games, but back him up with another able-bodied closer.

Cubs, Tribune Co. down to three

The Chicago Tribune is down to the final three bidders for the Cubs, and a decision could come any day.

While all three seem solid candidates, I'm struck by the quote on Tom Ricketts:
"There are a lot of people in this world that would say Tom Ricketts is their best friend," said Curt Conklin, a college roommate who has worked at Ameritrade and Incapital. "If you wanted to go have a beer, Tom was there.
He sounds perfect for the North side.

Rangers eyeing Buchholz

The Boston Red Sox roster now features a smorgasboard of starting pitching thanks to the signing of John Smoltz. Mike Hindman of the Dallas Morning News believes the Rangers are after fading phenom Clay Buchholz, who would seem to be one of the odd men out in the Red Sox roatation this year.
The prevailing thought has long been that Texas wants the Nederland, Texas native Buchholz (Nolan Ryan let it slip that he thought Buchholz would look good in a Rangers uniform) and Boston wants the Carrollton native Taylor Teagarden.

Both Texas and Boston have given indication that those players are not available. My guess -- and it's just a guess -- is that Jon Daniels and Theo Epstein are quibbling over what extra piece(s) Texas would have to add to Jarrod Saltalamacchia in order to get Buchholz.

How this all plays out for Texas may depend on what happens with veteran catcher Jason Varitek. If Boston can land him on a two year deal, I suspect that they will pull back, limp along with the declining leader for another couple of years and then pounce on Minnesota catcher Joe Mauer when he becomes a free agent after the 2010 season.
I'm not sure teams think as far ahead as 2011 on free agent signings, but who knows? Buchholz for Saltalamacchia seems good to me straight up. Texas shouldn't not throw in more unless it's on the cheap.

On second thought...

Given his reduced production over the past few years in New York, I'm convinced Jason Giambi's return to Oakland is fueled by one thing: he thinks BALCO is still open.

Romero saga strange

Not only did MLB suspend Phillies pitcher J.C. Romero for a banned steroid that wasn't on the bottle of his supplement of choice, the league also attempted to stop him from playing in the World Series.
But if MLB had its druthers, Romero never would have thrown a pitch in the postseason. A first-time positive test carries a 50-game suspension, which may be appealed. Aware that an appeal process would last well into the postseason and push any suspension back to opening day 2009, baseball took an unusual step and offered to cut Romero's suspension in half to prevent him from playing in the postseason.

"We generally do not negotiate discipline in the drug area," Manfred said. "If he appealed it would go beyond the World Series. We offered to reduce the suspension to avoid him being in the World Series.

"I think a scientist will tell you that the [banned] substance was no longer in [Romero's] system, but the appearance of it - you prefer to avoid. With any drug program, the goal is to remove the athlete as quickly as possible."

Asked if he believed the Phils' World Series title was tainted, Manfred said "No."
Why all the odd and special treatment in this case? Baseball never seemed quick to suspend a player in the past. Appeals almost always drag on for days and weeks.

Wednesday, January 7, 2009

Cubs, Peavy might still be possible

Jim Hendry made it clear in a Tuesday conference call that he's not done looking for starting pitching. The obvious question - is Hendry still working to acquire San Diego dynamo Jake Peavy?
The biggest payroll obstacle in taking on the $63 million Peavy is guaranteed for the life of his contract remains the Cubs' 2010 projections. None of the payroll-clearing deals of the last week did anything for 2010, and that means the flexibility to add Peavy probably doesn't exist without a nod from the team's new ownership group.

Selection of a winning bid for the club is said to be close -- perhaps by the end of next week -- and that might be just in time for the Cubs' front office to make a deal before spring training.

Also, the Cubs acquired three well-regarded pitching prospects from the Cleveland Indians in the Mark DeRosa trade last week, giving them deeper reserves of young talent to help pull off a trade.

But the biggest impediment to a deal might be the Padres' willingness to trade their ace, considering their own potential sale to Jeff Moorad's group of investors. Under financial pressures related to a divorce, the Padres' owners had ordered payroll cuts that led to aggressive shopping of Peavy. Some have speculated Moorad won't want to trade one of the team's most valuable commodities.

If Hendry can't land Peavy, plenty of free-agent pitchers remain on the market, although Derek Lowe is pricing himself beyond reason. Productive innings-eaters such as Braden Looper and Tim Redding more likely would fit the Cubs' needs.
On the conference call, Hendry did not indicate that ownership would allow him to spend more money, but he did say the Cubs are no longer positioning themselves against teams in their division. Hendry said the team is aiming higher than that these days. He might be asking for the extra money. Looper, Redding, et al just won't cut it in Chicago these days.

Brewers closing in on closers

The ongoing saga that is the Milwaukee Brewers bullpen continues to twist in the wind. Rumors of Trevor Hoffman blowing in from San Diego were one thing. Now, from the East, like a cold Nor'easter comes injury-ravanged Chad Cordero into the conversation.
The Brewers have been tracking his rehabilitation since the Washington Nationals nontendered Cordero last month, and have already seen him throw at least once.

The Brewers have been linked to Cordero before, once rejecting a trade offer that would have sent Cordero to Milwaukee for second baseman Rickie Weeks during the 2007 Winter Meetings. That was at the height of his run as the Nationals' closer, a four-year period from 2003-07 in which Cordero notched 127 saves. Along the way, before his 26th birthday, he became the second-youngest player in Major League history to reach the 100-save plateau (Francisco Rodriguez owns that title, recording his 100th save as a 25-year-old).
I understand the attraction, but hasn't Milwaukee learned about shaky closers from their 2008 mess at the back of the bullpen? Eric Gagne and company proved more to be stooges than musketeers or even amigos. Now Brewers candidates Hoffman (aging) and Cordero (injured) offer them little in terms of probable stability at a position that demands it. Good luck!

Cap hall of fame voting

ESPN's Jim Caple makes a weak plug for Bert Blyleven's election to the baseball hall of fame. It isn't strong enough. Blyleven is not a hall of famer in my mind.

Here's an idea: rather than allow revisionist history to decide who does or doesn't make it to the hall, lets cap hall of fame voting for a period of 15 years after a player leaves baseball. That gives voters 10 years to decide whether a player is worthy of Cooperstown. What better a time to deem a player hall-worthy than the 15 years following his career? His performance is still fresh in voters' minds, not faded like the yellowing papers and anachronistic yesteryear statistics voters have to mull over to elect players they've never seen.

The debates on older players like Blyleven and Ron Santo are tiresome. Let's move on.

A's get a C for this move

I'm not quite sure what the A's are thinking bringing in both Jason Giambi and Matt Holliday as it seems a divergent path from GM Billy Beane's "Moneyball" philosophy, but hey, it's interesting to see Oakland acquire veterans rather than trade them away. Here's one explanation from the San Francisco chronicle on the Giambi move:
The Giambi signing, though, is as useful for the team's twin goals in 2009 - to score four runs per game and to actually have recognizable human beings doing so. There is, as Lew Wolff will tell you, nothing worse in the game than players you don't know doing not enough to make you care.

And because he costs one-fifth the current asking (but not taking) price Ramirez is demanding, Giambi can fail in Oakland by being only one or more of the following three things:

-- Finished as a hitter.

-- Nostalgic for the Yankees.

-- Caught wearing the gold thong in front of his locker.

We're not sure if the signing is fully and solely Beane's idea, although it does have that Frank Thomas/remainder bin feel to it.
Ah, yes. Frank Thomas. I forgot Beane brought Fading Frank to town, too.

Fantasy Impact: It's a stretch to say Giambi is no longer productive, but an even bigger stretch to believe he's still a top fantasy performer. He's productive, but he can really hurt you in batting average. An even further slide by the 34-year-old-to-be could be disasterous if taken too early in a fantasy draft. Giambi is probably most safely taken just outside of the first 8 rounds.

Marquis' Rockies role

The Cubs trade of Jason Marquis for Luis Vizcaino is little more than a salary dump for the Cubs, who acquire a potential setup-type reliever in Vizcaino. Marquis, who earns $9.8 million in 2009, was just to expensive to keep.

Fantasy Impact: Despite his mediocre 4.55 career ERA, Marquis always seems to find a way to win. He's always played for winners, and that helps. If the Rockies can recapture a little magic from 2007, Marquis might be a nice pickup for a fantasy team as a spot starter who is likely to beat lower-end teams on a regular basis.

Vizcaino is nothing more than a middle-reliever. The Cubs have both Carlos Marmol and Kevin Gregg to handle closing duties.

Join the dark side

When Beltway Boy Mark Teixeira officialy joined the Bronx Bombers on Tuesday, he may have burned his bridge to hometown Baltimore forever. Then he turned the screws in that coffin even tighter, saying he used to wear a Yankees cap to Orioles games as a child.
"You know what the coolest part is going to be?" he said. "I'm going to get a chance to be the first first baseman that the Yankees have in the new stadium. And, you know, the Bleacher Bums in right are going to do the roll call. That's going to be pretty sweet. Hopefully, we're going to be four games up in the division at the time, and are already rolling, and the fans here in New York will be pumped."
Sounds like a kid on Christmas.

Fantasy Impact: Teixeira hitting left-handed at New Yankee Stadium should benefit from the short porch in right field. He's a special talent, albeit a streaky one. His draft stock has to go up in any draft considering the talent that will be around him. Expect a .300-110-35-120 line from him by season's end.

Mistakes by lake?

The Cleveland Indians are assembling the all-what-if free agents. Kerry Wood, Mark DeRosa and now pitcher Carl Pavano give Cleveland a threesome of as many questions as answers heading into spring training.

Wood established himself as a closer last year, but there will always be health qustions with him. Can DeRosa's career year with the Cubs be replicated in 2009? Pavano is a health nightmare. Somebody must own a voodoo doll of him.
The Yankees paid $39.95 million to Pavano, who made just 26 starts in four seasons because of injuries. His contract with the Indians includes incentives beginning with his 18th start and can grow to $5.3 million.

Pavano had reconstructive elbow surgery in 2007, when he was the unlikely opening-day starter for the Yankees after missing a full season. He returned last August and went 4-2 with a 5.77 earned run average in seven starts.

“He feels he’s in tremendous shape,” O’Connell said. “The Cleveland people were very impressed with his physique. He’s as strong as an ox.”
Strong like bull, but brittle like peanut brittle.

Fantasy Impact: Wood and DeRosa can put up solid numbers. Wood will get his 35 saves in Cleveland while DeRosa's versatility makes him attractive as a utility player. Pavano is an intriguing X-factor. Draft him late, hoping he can become a very low-cost 5th starter.

Tuesday, January 6, 2009

Mitre, Romero out 50 games

The Marlins and Phillies took hits to their pitching staffs with the 50-game suspensions of Sergio Mitre and J.C. Romero for the use of performance-enhancing drugs.
The Major League Baseball players union called the bans “unfair” because the relievers took supplements that failed to list a prohibited substance in its ingredients. A third-party arbitrator upheld Major League Baseball’s discipline, citing the sport’s drug agreement “no fault or negligence” standard, the union said in a statement.

“These players should not be suspended,” union general counsel Michael Weiner said. “Their unknowing actions plainly are distinguishable from those of a person who intentionally used an illegal performance-enhancing substance.”
Considering NFL players fought suspensions for unknown banned supplements in December, this could be players' attempt to fight back in baseball.

Baldelli gets new diagnosis

The ongoing health saga of Rocco Baldelli takes a twist for the better. It sounds like he might be able to treat his condition better after a new diagnosis.
In fact, a recent visit to the Cleveland Clinic led Baldelli's doctor there to conclude that his symptoms were more related to a set of diseases known as channelopathies than the more serious mitochondrial problems that Baldelli on Wednesday described as "the best diagnosis at the time."

"Basically, the situation has been clarified a little bit better because of further tests," Baldelli said by phone from Rhode Island. "It's positive news for my baseball career and my health."

Baldelli described channelopathy as "less severe and more treatable" than the mitochondrial disorder. According to MedicineNet.com, a channelopathy is a disease involving dysfunction of an ion channel for elements such as potassium, sodium, chloride and calcium.
Whatever the case, an improved Baldelli means an improved Tampa Bay Rays.

Pat "The Bat" in Tampa

Pat Burrell's addition in Tampa Bay will greatly help the young and improving Rays hit left-handed pitching. Burrell, however, is a better hitter than given credit for, and should play a constant role in the middle of Tampa's order.

He'll provide the righty bat to Carlos Pena's lefty bat, and while the two are streaky hitters around Evan Longoria, they should provide enough pop to keep the Rays dangerous. Burrell will also DH, leaving him with few or no fielding concerns.

Playing Games with Milton Bradley

How troubled a guy is Milton Bradley? He's got a lot of baggage, literally and figuratively, having worn out his welcome in six different cities over parts of nine MLB seasons.

That the Cubs picked him up will only add to odd drama which plays out on the North side of Chicago. Bradley should be an interesting addition, as the Cubs basically move the ever-stable Mark DeRosa to insert Bradley in right field. The move is a risk with both Bradley's mercurial personality swings and health problems (he's played 120 games or more just twice in his career).

That said, don't fault the Cubs for releasing DeRosa for Bradley. This is a move by a team trying to win it all. Despite a career year in 2008, DeRosa's right-handed bat was the weakest in the Cubs' murderers row featuring Derrek Lee, Aramis Ramirez, Alfonso Soriano and Geovany Soto. The need for a lefty power bat made him the most expendable, especially when the Cubs landed utility-man Aaron Miles to fill in around the infield.

Bradley hits from both sides, and has put up better numbers than DeRosa for his career. If he plays more than halves of seasons in Chicago, and is availble for the postseason, Cubs fans should be pretty happy.

One big concern, however, is the money the Cubs have tied up in Kosuke Fukudome and Bradley over the next three years. Fukudome signed a $48-million deal last year. Now Bradley's signed a three-year, $30-million deal. If this doesn't work out, the Cubs could sink rather fast.

Fantasy Impact:Expect Fukudome to slide to center and platoon with Reed Johnson or win the job outright. He's good enough to play the lions share in center, and when Johnson starts, Fukudome can slide to right and give Bradley rest. He should hit better than he did in 2007. Bradley is coming off a career year, but don't expect those numbers to necessarily falter. He's in a good lineup, and his lefty bat should be right in the middle of the noise. His attitude and his health could be the only things that hold him back. Treat both players as fourth outfielders with good upside.

Monday, January 5, 2009

Go East, middle-aged man

Former White Sox, Phillies and Padres infielder Tad Iguchi is apparently out of the MLB market and heading back to Japan. With a .232 average last year and declining numbers over the past few seasons, this makes sense. He's hit just 11 home runs since 2006.

Fantasy Impact:Iguchi was becoming a marginal player at best. He lost his starting job in Chicago, then failed to earn one in Philadelphia or San Diego. The 34-year-old is a backup when he's in the States, but it looks like he won't be this season.

That's last year's headline!

Forgive me, MLB.com, but your Yankees headline for today, "Reloaded Yankees have high expectations," could've been used in any of the past 12 January's. That is all.

Jagged little pill

Rob Neyer must've finally watched the Matrix after getting it stashed in his Christmas stocking. How else can he be referencing that nine-year-old film with a column on hall of fame voting? That said, I'm always the red pill type of guy.

Florida On My Mind

ESPN lists what to watch in MLB for 2009. The list is a good one, but perhaps the best item on it is the Florida Marlins and their pitching staff.
I can't get Bobby Cox's words out of my head. It was the last week of September. And here's what he said: "You know who's got the best starting pitching in our division? It's the Marlins. And it's not even close." Nobody, of course, was saying that about that team a year ago, when the Fish were getting ready to roll out a rotation that had won a total of 23 games the year before. But now, they have Ricky Nolasco, Josh Johnson, Chris Volstad, Anibal Sanchez and Andrew Miller lined up.

They have a collection of supersonic bullpen arms. They have Cameron Maybin moving into center. And Logan Morrison is just over the horizon, with the minor-league teenage home-run champ, Mike Stanton, right behind him. So despite all the Marlins' questions and inexperience, this is one dangerous team. I'm not sure if an 84-78 team qualifies as a "surprise" the way, say, the 2008 Rays did. But when a franchise with a sub-$40 million payroll looms as a major contender, that's always a "surprise" in my dictionary.
-- Jayson Stark
What team reinvents itself year after troubling year like the Florida Marlins? I think back to James Earl Jones soliloquy about America and baseball in Field of Dreams.
America has rolled by like an army of steamrollers. It's been erased like a blackboard, rebuilt, and erased again.
So have the Marlins, and they're still coming up with ways of reinventing themselves.