Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Furcal back in Cubs crosshairs?

The Cubs offseason laundry list of potential signings or trades is familiar and intriguing. Remember the Brian Robers rumors (how could you not)? A lefty power bat? Try Adam Dunn.

Jake Peavy would be a stretch, unless the Cubs get creative. Fukudome's contract really hurts them, as I've talked about before. More doable would be picking up Jeremy Hermida or Mike Jacobs, but neither of those lefty bats patrols center field, so how helpful can they be? And are they better options than an ancient Jim Edmonds? Maybe.

A Rafael Furcal deal seems most reasonable.
The Dodgers' switch-hitting, free agent shortstop led the NL in leadoff on-base percentage (.434 in 159 at-bats) but is injury-prone and snubbed the Cubs three years ago for an offer Hendry considered outrageous. But if Hendry lets bygones be bygones, he could do much worse than having Furcal atop his order. If Furcal came over, Ryan Theriot would move back to second and Mark DeRosa would become the regular right fielder.
This move gives the Cubs an instant catalyst, and keeps DeRosa in the lineup in place of Fukudome. The Cubs can transition their Japanese right fielder into a center field platoon with Reed Johnson, if they bring Johnson back. The move doesn't help the Cubs' need for a left-handed power bat, but Furcal won't be as pricey after his injury-ravaged season.

What's best? Furcal in the leadoff spot slips Soriano down in the order, perhaps all the way to fifth, which would be ideal.

Konerko for Figgins?

Some odds and ends on the White Sox as they prepare for offseason moves. It sounds like Ken Griffey, Jr. and Orlando Cabrera are gone, and Paul Konerko could head West.
The Jon Garland-for-Cabrera deal was completed in less than two weeks last November, and a natural fit for the Sox would be the Angels' Chone Figgins, who could bat leadoff and play third.

But the Angels will need a first baseman if they can't re-sign free agent Mark Teixeira. Paul Konerko came close to signing with the Angels after the 2005 season and is friendly with Angels manager Mike Scioscia dating to their days in the Dodgers organization.

But Konerko has two years left on his contract and full no-trade rights. He also hit nine home runs in September and two in the American League Division Series after coping with slumps and injuries.
Seems like a stretch to move Konerko. He's coming off his worst full season (.240 AVG, 22 HR, 62 RBI), and while he's not old (he turns 32 in the spring), Konerko isn't getting any younger.

Fish wallets open wide(r)

It won't compete with the Yankees, Red Sox, Dodgers or Cubs, but the Florida Marlins will open the books (a little bit) in 2009. Owner Jeffrey Loria is backing a team payroll of up to $40 million, nearly doubling the Marlins' spending for 2008.
Such a hefty increase over the $22 million the team spent this year would represent an 82 percent hike. Increased revenue sharing, along with the expectation of a new ballpark as soon as 2011 and the World Series run of the low-budget Rays, have emboldened the Marlins to open their wallet again.

That doesn't mean there won't be significant alterations to the roster that won 84 games and finished third in the NL East this season. But it does mean the Marlins probably won't be in the position of dumping salary for that purpose alone.

Deposed closer Kevin Gregg is readily available, as is power-hitting first baseman Mike Jacobs. Lefty Scott Olsen could be dealt as well due to a surplus in the starting rotation.
Gregg, Jacobs and Olsen are all expendable, and the Malins will still have to get creative to compete with the big boys. Still, it could be an entertaining offseason in South Florida.

Holt everything (a closer needs to be)

Matthew Cerrone of Metsblog is wondering if 2008 Mets draftee Brad Holt will eventually become a closer candidate. Pitchers do develop a lot before they make the majors, but Holt sounds like an ideal candidate (5–3, 1.87 ERA, 96 K, 72 IP, .171 OBA).

Peavy money ball

Forget Jake Peavy's no-trade clause. This deal will come down to one matter: money. That's the issue even if Peavy doesn't want it to be that way. It will be a market-driven move, according to the player's agent, Barry Axelrod.
“It's not that far of a stretch to say this is a free-agent situation,” Axelrod said, “and if there is a guy like Sabathia out there, we would have to look at what any given team is going to pay Sabathia, because he and Jake won the Cy Young award in the same year, and we're going to put Jake on the same plane as this guy.”

He added that “there might be some places where it is a more palatable deal to Jake than any other places.”

Axelrod already has said that whatever club would trade for Peavy, 27, likely would have to extend his full no-trade powers through contract's end.

Peavy and the Padres agreed in December to a three-year, $52 million extension that includes a $4 million buyout on a $22 million option for 2013, and full no-trade powers through 2010.

Sometime this offseason, Sabathia reportedly could sign for $25 million a year, and if a prospective trade partner doesn't thrill Peavy at that point, Axelrod would consider it fair game to bring Sabathia's salary into negotiations with a potential employer.

“Making this about money is not my style, nor Jake's style,” Axlerod said. “I think we proved that. But at the same time, I don't think Jake should have to sacrifice anything.

“Jake signed an under-market deal with San Diego because he wanted to stay in San Diego. It was worth it for Jake to take less.”

Verducci on Bud's Bungle

Tom Verducci backs the commissioner's decision-making on Monday night.
Give credit to commissioner Bud Selig and the umpires working World Series Game 5. They did their best to get the game played, given the weather forecast information available to them, made the right call to suspend the game when conditions grew unplayable -- the pelting rain continued for hours -- and sent people home quickly without wasting time trying to divine when the next "window" might be available to resume play. Too often we jump on baseball when things don't go according to script. But Selig has stepped up twice in this World Series with the right response to rain issues. He insisted Game 3 be played, even with a 10:06 p.m. start time after a 91-minute delay, in part because he knew of the terrible conditions forecast for Tuesday, the next available off day. The game was played in fine weather and field conditions.
Perhaps, but the game could've easily been suspended in the fifth. I talked to a meteorologist about the rain system moving through the Northeast. He told me it would intensify and last through the rest of Monday, easily. There's no way this game should've been pushed through to the bottom of the fifth and beyond.

Bravo to Braves farmhand

The Braves' David Francis picks up Class A Short-Season Best Single Game Performance.

Keep an eye on this kid. Francis as the makeup to be special. He strikes out many more batters than innings pitched, he's proven he can dominate by throwing a no-hitter at a young age, and he wins (5-3).

Free tacos today

Just a reminder.

Bemused by Bud

Baseball Musings is one of the few (only?) writers to come to Bud Selig's defense, citing the rulebook for postponements to show that the commissioner did the right thing in waiting for a tie before calling game five.
Commissioner Selig cited rule 4.12a, section 6, in explaining the suspension of Game 5. According to the rule, "a game shall become a suspended game that must be completed at a future date" for a number of reasons, with section 6 specifying "a regulation game that is called with the score tied."

In this scenario, the rule (4.12c) for suspended games is enacted: "A suspended game shall be resumed at the exact point of suspension of the original game. The completion of a suspended game is a continuation of the original game. The lineup and batting order of both teams shall be exactly the same as the lineup and batting order at the moment of suspension, subject to the rules governing substitution. Any player may be replaced by a player who had not been in the game prior to the suspension. No player removed before the suspension may be returned to the lineup."

Prior to the introduction of this rule following the 2006 season, the suspended game would have reverted back to the beginning of the inning, with the Phillies leading, 2-1, since Philadelphia did not bat in the bottom of the inning. But that is no longer the case and therefore Game 5 will resume with the score tied at 2.

However, Selig would not have allowed the reversion to 2-1 anyway. While Phillies fans might have liked that, Rays fans would have gone through the roof. Selig would have suspended the game no matter what, which would be the right thing to do.

I'm not a big Selig fan, but MLB handled this series in Philadelphia correctly. The wait on Saturday night was due to the bad weather reports for Monday and Tuesday. They had a weather report that the rain Monday night was going to be light enough for the field to absorb. When that proved to be wrong, they suspended the game. They were placed in a bad situation due to the forces of nature, and their decisions were logical. They should be taking too much heat over this.
OK, but if the commissioner would not have allowed a reversion for a 2-1 Phillies' rain-shortened win, couldn't he have asked for the tarp before the game went official in the 5th? There was a downpour for quite some time, and any amateur meteorologist looking at the radar could see the heavier stuff was coming for hours ahead. Heck, I've been to games with preemptive rain delays minutes before the hard stuff falls. Rather than make "logical" decisions after miring yourself in the muck, why not make a better decision before you get stuck? Baseball could have and should have postponed this one much earlier.

Why wait for the Rays to score a run in the slop?

Update: Another voice saying that the game should've been suspended before we hit the midway point of the fifth.
Simply put, Game 5 is hopelessly tainted by what transpired between the time the game should have been called and the middle of the sixth inning, when it was finally suspended.

Whatever happens when play resumes, whether the Phillies celebrate their first World Series championship or the Rays force a Game 6 in Florida, MLB can't justify its decision or its decision-making process.

Bud is bad, Buck is bad

I count lots of anti-Bud stories today. Selig is really getting thrown under the bus for last night's nonsense. As Ken Rosenthal said, it's the freaking World Series! Get it right!

Bud Selig makes a bad call for baseball
Thank god the Rays scored, and that Bud Selig is a boob
Selig and company all wet when it comes to Series scheduling

And Joe Buck takes some well-deserved heat as well:
Joe Buck is a freaking MORON

There's been a lot of bad at this World Series.

Umpires striking out

OK, I'm finally going to cave and write up the umpiring in this series. The biggest calls, or non-calls have gone against the Rays, but there have been many mistakes. Home plate umpire Jeff Kellogg had a different strike zone for every batter. For Pat Burrell, there was no strike zone.

Muddy decision making

You go, Ken Rosenthal. I can barely stomach you with a microphone in your hand, but when you pick up a pen, or your blackberry, or a laptop, or whatever it is you used to write this, you do well, sir.
World Series games should never, ever be played in conditions that compromise the integrity of the competition.

That's what happened Monday night, no matter how commissioner Bud Selig wants to spin it. Selig again was in something of a no-win position because of inaccurate weather forecasts. But he should have halted Game 5 much sooner.

Instead, the game was not suspended until after the top of the sixth inning, an inning in which the Rays tied the score, 2-2, with standing water in the infield.

I can't read the mind of Phillies manager Charlie Manuel, but I'm willing to bet that he didn't speak to the media afterward because he believes his team still should be leading, 2-1.
Not only was I disappointed with the decision to play on, it was a disservice to the two teams. Baseball waited until Tampa Bay tied the game so they didn't have to face a potential short-game nightmare in the clinching game of a World Series. Here's an idea: don't allow 5-inning World Series games! Postpone them at worst. Finish them the next day. You're doing that now, anyway, with mud on your face.