Cubs collapse & future

I was going to write up the Cubs' debacle today, but Baseball Musings said close to everything that needed to be said.

There are a few more points on the Cubs, however, and it starts with starting pitching. I don't think anyone could have expected Ryan Dempster to have the kind of year he did, and maybe for one night the old Dempster reared his ugly right arm. For the first time since 2001, Dempster started over 30 games. In '01 he went 15-12 in Florida with a 4.94 ERA, almost two points higher than this year's 2.96 ERA. Despite his great season, Dempster's career ERA improved to just 4.55. I'm a firm believer in using a player's full resume in predicting his future, and to me Dempster was not a front-line starter despite his great year. At best I liked Dempster as a number three starter on this team, because I think both Carlos Zambrano and Rich Harden can be more dominant.

That said, both Zambrano and Harden struggled down the stretch. 'Z' suffered through several bad outings while Harden experienced arm troubles. I think Lou Piniella was offered no other alternative than to start with Dempster, and I'm not sure that's what he would've wanted in a perfect world.

Alfonso Soriano is not a leadoff hitter. Piniella gave his player what he wanted rather than going with Piniella's gut or a statistcal analysis, which shows Soriano is a better middle-of-the-order type.

Kosuke Fukudome poses a potential problem in right field for years to come. Fukudome was figured out by MLB pitchers after just over a month of baseball. They pounded him away, realizing his bail-out style cannot catch up to heat on the outside. With a contract at four years and 48-million still on the books for the next three seasons, are the Cubs in a Barry Zito situation? A player too expensive to trade? Certainly the commitment is too strong to give up on the guy. Fukudome has his work cut out this offseason.

Jim Edmonds might retire, might go elsewhere, or might return to the Cubs. That's not a huge question mark, but given his fairly solid play in Chicago, the Cubs might have a hard time improving on his production in center field.

Henry Blanco holds a mutual option with the club on 2009. This needs to be sorted out quickly.