Flipping coin flips

Major league baseball is trying to come up with a new system to decide where to play one-game playoffs other than flipping a coin.

Jimmie Lee Solomon, MLB's executive vice president of baseball operations, said Tuesday at the Winter Meetings that he'll try to have a proposal ready for the next quarterly owners meetings on Jan. 15-16 in the Phoenix area. Instead of coin flips, the first tiebreaker to determine where a game would be played would be the head-to-head records of the competing clubs.

"Most people in the room kind of agreed with that," Solomon said when the matter was brought up at the General Managers meetings last month in Dana Point, Calif.

The custom has always been to flip a coin several weeks before the possible tiebreaker to determine which team might host.

There have been eight one-game tiebreakers for a postseason spot in Major League history, seven of them since 1969, when the multi-tiered playoff format went into existence.

Two of them have been the past two seasons. In 2007, the Padres lost the flip and traveled to Colorado, where they lost the National League's Wild Card berth to the Rockies, 9-8, in 13 innings. This year, the Twins lost the flip and went to Chicago, where the White Sox defeated them, 1-0, to win the American League Central title.

The Twins beat the White Sox in head-to-head games last season, and the fact that the playoff was played at U.S. Cellular Field irked Minnesota supporters.

Bet it's more complicated

The new era of sports betting would appear to be here. What's the catch?

Padres still working Peavy deal with Cubs

News on the Jake Peavy trade front out of San Diego says no deal is likely with the Cubs until after the winter meetings. Padres GM Kevin Towers, who's talked very freely about trading Peavy all offseason, was at it again on Tuesday.

"It looks more likely today," Towers said late Tuesday afternoon.

Towers, who has said a deal "definitely" would involve a third team, said talks "could speed up" soon if Cubs GM Jim Hendry can make a corresponding move that would allow him to assume Peavy's contract, which guarantees Peavy $63 million over the next four years.

But, he added, "Jim and I both kind of agree that if we can't come to some sort of agreement by Thursday, it's probably not going to happen."

The Cubs continue to try to work with the Phillies to move Mark DeRosa in order to free up salary, and a fourth team could get involved. Jason Marquis has also replaced Sean Marshall in the deal.

It sounds like something might get done, but if the teams continue to get hung up on the prospects involved in the deal, who knows? San Diego needs to get a haul if they're going to give up one of the top young pitchers in baseball.

K-Rod strikes it rich in NY

Francisco Rodriguez signed a three-year, $37-million deal with the Mets to become the team's closer. No surprise there.

Now we see if the Mets get a two-headed monster a the end of the 'pen down the stretch next season if Billy Wagner can return in September. That's considered a longshot, at least at this point.

Wood signs with Cleveland

In Cleveland, it's no more Joe Borowski, Rafael Betancourt, Masahide Kobayaski, Rafael Perez or Jensen Lewis in the closer role now that the Indians have landed Kerry Wood.

That means all the paper lions the Indians trotted out in the ninth inning last year can return to their more-comfortable setup roles in 2009. The Indians bullpen just got a great deal stronger.

Orioles trade Hernandez for Freel; Wieters to benefit

A busy day at the winter meetings with hardly anything getting done. One trade to comment on from Tuesday with the Orioles sending catcher Ramon Hernandez to the Reds for utilityman Ryan Freel and two minor leaguers. The Reds get their quality starting catcher while the Orioles will use Freel in center field or wherever they see fit.

Freel had mixed emotions about the trade.

"It's hard to say right now," he said on a conference call. "A piece of me feels excitement and a piece of me is upset about the relationship I've had with Cincinnati. It's tough. One thing in life is you can't look in the past. You have to look in the future. I'm torn."

Freel said he had already spoken with MacPhail, but they didn't go into specifics about what Freel's role would be next season. MacPhail said Freel would play some in center field.

"They're excited to have me," Freel said. "I'm looking forward to a healthy upcoming season."

Freel's role as a heavily-used part-time player probably won't change much, and Hernandez should continue to be an above-average offensive catcher, even if he hit just .257 in 2008.

The most intriguing aspect of this deal is Matt Wieters, the Orioles likely replacement for Hernandez.

"This trade was more about Matt Wieters, frankly," MacPhail said. "It had been our goal to make sure we could introduce Matt into the major league scene somewhere over the course of the '09 season, not necessarily to start right away, but we thought he could handle it eventually after a little time in Triple-A possibly under his belt. We knew that would create a situation where we were going to have to split some playing time with him and Ramon, and we knew Ramon wouldn't be happy about that."

Wieters looks like the real deal. He's 6'5, 230, bats both, and hit .355 with 27 homers between Class A and Double-A. He's going to be coveted on fantasy draftboards as a potential breakthrough player in 2009.

Sabathia still Yankees' top target

If you were wondering whether the Yankees still held out hope that CC Sabathia might be playing in New York, here's the answer. GM Brian Cashman made his first priority at the Las Vegas winter meets visiting face-to-face with Sabathia to learn the pitcher's interest in playing for the Yankees. A six-year, $140-million offer would seem to prove the Yankees are interested in him.

If Cashman believes that Sabathia simply doesn't want to play for the Yankees, he could shift his attention swiftly to first baseman Mark Teixeira, whom Cashman met last Thursday in the Washington, D.C. area.

Although Cashman has emphasized the team's need for pitching this offseason, it seems the Yankees are going to let themselves get outbid by Atlanta for A.J. Burnett. And Derek Lowe is not close to signing with anyone.

A California native and resident, Sabathia would prefer playing in his home state, as well as the National League; he enjoyed hitting during his brief time with the Brewers. But neither the Dodgers nor the Giants appear to have the payroll space, and the Angels are prioritizing Teixeira.

I think Sabathia is going to end up in Southern California. Just a hunch. The Dodgers will probably have to get creative to get it done.

On Santo and the Hall of Fame

A change in veterans committee voting could allow former Cubs third baseman Ron Santo to sneak into the hall of fame today.

The revamped system -- which this time narrowed the field to a finalist list before a final vote -- along with pressure on the committee to elect somebody may at last open the door for Santo to join teammates Ernie Banks, Billy Williams and Fergie Jenkins in the Hall. He must be named on at least 75 percent of ballots submitted by up to 64 eligible voters.

Santo's a nice man, whom I've met, but in my estimation he's not hall of fame material. He was a good player, and a fine third baseman, but that's not enough to get you into the hall. A look at his career statistics shows he was a tough out for a handful of seasons, but not necessarily an elite player for his career. Here's wishing Santo luck, but not expecting his induction.

Joe Torre, Dick Allen, Gil Hodges, Jim Kaat, Tony Oliva, Al Oliver, Vada Pinson, Luis Tiant and Maury Wills round out the group of ten the veterans committee had to choose from.

Tigers trade for Laird

The Tigers got the catcher they so badly needed, dealing two minor league prospects to Texas for backstop Gerald Laird. It sounds like the Rangers got one prospect who is Major League ready and another who is a top young talent.

Detroit parted with two pitching prospects in the deal, right-handers Guillermo Moscoso and Carlos Melo.

Moscoso, 25, made a splash in the Detroit farm system this year by going 5-4 with a 2.70 ERA in 21 games (12 starts) between Class A Lakeland and Double-A Erie. His moxie and swing-and-miss fastball have earned him some comparisons to former Tigers prospect Jair Jurrjens.

Melo, 17, pitched for the Tigers’ Dominican Summer League affiliate this year. He’s known for an explosive fastball that ranges from 92 to 96 miles per hour and has also shown a promising curveball and changeup.

Laird is a defensive catcher who hit .276 last year. His career average is down around .255, and he doesn't have a lot of pop. The Tigers obviously wanted someone to manage their pitching staff. You'll want to stay away from him in fantasy play, especially now that he's leaving on offensive park for a less offensive one.

The Rangers catching situation is intriguing. Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Taylor Teagarden and Max Ramirez have to make up the most talented young catching trio in baseball, but is any of them ready to inherit the job full time? This situation must be monitored for fantasy implications through the spring.

Dye rumor dies

The Chicago White Sox denied the rumor that they are dealing Jermaine Dye to Cincinnati for Homer Bailey.

But Bailey remains an intriguing prospect because of his 95-m.p.h. fastball and Sox general manager Ken Williams' penchant for acquiring top prospects who could benefit from a change of scenery.

That was the case in previous years with Gavin Floyd and Carlos Quentin.

That much may be true, but Williams just dealt Javier Vazquez to Atlanta for prospects, and he acquired Ken Griffey from the Reds last season, then let him go in the offseason. That means it is unlikely that he trades Dye, arguably his most productive right-handed bat over multiple seasons, for another underachieving pitcher with pedigree.

This rumor sounded far-fetched in the first place. Now it's dead.

Sell radio, buy players

The Cincinnati Reds are far from returning to the "Big Red Machine" days of the 1970s, but they're going back to a radio-selling formula from that era that's produced a precision money-maker that could make Cincinnati buyers this offseason.

The Reds' decision to start selling their own advertising for their radio game broadcasts is contributing to an increase in revenue that could translate into a player payroll of around $80 million for the coming season, up from $74.1 million in 2008.
Advertisement

Reds chief operating officer Phil Castellini said radio revenue is up 30 percent over the previous three years and total corporate sales revenue is up 140 percent over the same period.

"We put 100 percent of that into the team," Castellini said. "So you look at the payroll, which is published every year, and figure it out."

How many teams are taking this approach? It's no YES Network, but when you can spread around some extra cash, good things can happen.

Talking about Willis

Can Dontrelle Willis be the Cliff Lee of 2009? That's what the Detroit Free Press is asking, and it's not implausible.

The winter meetings begin anew tomorrow in Las Vegas, and many in the industry — Dombrowski included — believe this will be a very active week. The Tigers have a limited budget, and they need a catcher, shortstop and closer.

They could trade an expensive veteran to clear payroll, but how realistic would that be? Willis, for example, is due to earn $10 million next year and $12 million in 2010. Is any general manager going to look at Willis’ performance this year — 0-2, 9.38 ERA, too many outings were he could not throw strikes — and ask Dombrowski to send him the bill?

Well, not the entire bill. That’s an important distinction.

The odds do not favor a Willis trade this off-season, but the possibility will linger for a simple reason: Every team in baseball needs pitching.

But, then again, why not? Why wouldn't a contending team take Willis on as a 5th starter? As Detroit to pay a percentage of the bill, and if he rebounds anywhere near his former self, you get a steal. If he doesn't work out, he's just a 5th starter. A midseason trade can bring you another arm, or a minor league call-up might pan out. Willis could become an attractive name to many at this week's winter meetings.

Baltimore balking at pitching

Unbelievable, but the Orioles' rather dire search for starting pitching has them stockpiling their 40-man roster with 28 pitchers!

"Pitching markets are always tough because the supply never comes close to meeting demand," Orioles president Andy MacPhail said. "It seems like it gets to be more and more that way. Starting pitching is probably the hardest commodity to have."
...
Fearful of Burnett's injury history, the Orioles are even hesitant to offer him a guaranteed four years, likely leaving them to pore through other options. They have expressed interest in Paul Byrd, Jon Garland, Mark Hendrickson, Braden Looper and Randy Wolf. They have meetings scheduled with the agents for Kenshin Kawakami and Koji Uehara, and appear to be in decent position to land at least one of the Japanese starters.

And the Orioles, who traditionally have avoided taking chances on pitchers who are health risks, are even considering players such as Bartolo Colon and Matt Clement.

"We're looking at everything," MacPhail said. "We're going to do everything we can to augment our pitching. There's no question it will be difficult. It always is."

Doesn't sound too likely that the Orioles will become an instant challenger in the AL East this year. That said, get your fantasy roster ready almost every turn they take against Baltimore.

Lyon's share not there in Arizona

Brandon Lyon, who saved 26 games for the Diamondbacks in 2008, declined an arbitration offer from the team. He was stellar in April, May and September (2.77, 0.00 and 3.86 ERAs), but he looked gruesome in June, July and August (4.91, 6.52, and 12.27). That's why he lost his closer job late in the year. That's why he likely didn't get the offer he was seeking from Arizona. That's why he'll seek greener pastures.

"I just want to keep my options open," Lyon said. "After making it six years in this game, it's maybe time to explore these options and see what's out there."

Lyon said he has yet to receive a concrete offer from a team but has received interest from "a lot of teams."

The Diamondbacks will receive one compensatory draft pick should Lyon, a Type B free agent, sign elsewhere.

As for the Diamondbacks, Lyon doesn't sound confident about working out a deal.

"I wish we could have worked something out," Lyon said. "It's not looking like anything is going to get done, with the amount they have to spend and the way the economy is."

Lyon makes for a pretty good setup option for an MLB club, and he's a decent backup closer heading into next season. He holds fantasy value for that reason, but a contending team is unlikely to give him a shot unless it's desperate.