We got next

John Shea with The San Francisco Chronicle digs up a little blurb on something I've been thinking about for the past week or so: which MLB team has the best chance of becoming this year's Tampa Bay Rays? Along with the obvious Cincinnati Reds pick, Shea also goes with the Kansas City Royals and the Baltimore Orioles. I like his KC pick best.

Royals: They're optimistic after an 18-6 September, their best month since July 1994. They improved their win total three straight years. Starter Kyle Davies, 25, was 4-1 with a 2.27 ERA in the final month, closer Joakim Soria, 24, earned 42 saves (more than anyone in the AL except Francisco Rodriguez) with a 1.60 ERA and third baseman Alex Gordon, 25, and DH-first baseman Billy Butler, 22, may be ready to break out.

I'm in complete agreement with that assessment, but I think the key for the Royals will be a healthy and productive Gil Meche.

I do not, however, agree with his Orioles pick. Baltimore not only has no shot at the postseason, they also have no chance to finish higher than fourth in the AL East.

Sheff talk cooking in Cincinnati

Sounds like the Reds are getting in on the Gary Sheffield sweepstakes, with Dusty Baker considering him for Cincinnati's left field job.

"I'm sure he has some offers," Baker said. "I asked Walt for permission to make the call. I made the call, then Walt talked to [Reds president and CEO Bob] Castelllini. I talked to Jim Leyland [Wednesday] night, just to see, because he hadn't played the outfield in a long time."

His ability to play the outfield was a bone of contention between the Tigers and Sheffield, with the team feeling he was only capable of DHing and Sheffield believing he had plenty left in the tank to play defense. The Tigers released Sheffield and his $14 million salary because of what they perceived to be his lack of flexibility.

"When I heard that word, versatility, I'm [thinking], 'I'm probably the most athletic guy on the team,'" Sheffield said at the time of his release. "But at the same time, that's their opinion and I have to respect that.

"I know I can play the outfield, so I'm not putting myself in that box. I know what I can do. I know I can throw better than most people. I still can run, and I still can hit. So that's all I can say."

Chris Dickerson is currently in consideration for left field, and the addition of Sheffield would only take away from Dickerson's opportunities.

Fantasy Impact: If Sheffield lands in Cincinnati, his fantasy value climbs thanks to the launching-pad nature of Great American Ballpark. Dickerson's value would wane from a guy who looked destined to play at least 100 games to potentially fewer than 80.

All of Trader Jim's deals

Nationals GM Jim Bowden resigned on March 1, leaving his position vacant as Washington closes in on the 2009 season. His shoes will be big to fill. MLB Trade Rumors says "Trader Jim" made 168 deals during him time as a GM with both Cincinnati and Washington. That's a lot of activity from one GM.

Nasty Boys part II?

All three of the Cardinals closing candidates -- Chris Perez, Jason Motte and Ryan Franklin -- looked good against the Dominican Republic today.

Veteran Ryan Franklin, dazzling in his first outing, retired all six men he faced. Young Chris Perez, who had struggled in his first two outings, had a perfect inning; Josh Kinney, who had walked four hitters in two previous innings, didn't walk anybody and Jason Motte worked his third straight scoreless inning.

That has me wondering: might the Cardinals end up going with a three-man closer like the Cincinnati Reds of yesteryear? I'm not saying Perez / Motte / Franklin will ever be as talented as Randy Myers / Rob Dibble / Norm Charlton, but maybe it's time to bring back the three-headed committee approach.

Now that I look at it, Charlton wasn't much of a closer. Myers did most of the work for the 1990 Reds while Dibble closed out more games in 1991. Tim Layana equaled Charlton with two saves in '90! Ted Power had the third most for Cincy in '91 with three. What a bullpen!

Running Reds

The Reds' homer-hitting approach is getting a bit of a makeover this year with Dusty Baker interested in Willie Taveras and others running more on the base paths.

Baker is planning on having his team run much more this season, and he hopes using that aggressiveness will create more scoring opportunities.

"No. 1, you manage to your personnel. The personnel we have has more speed," Baker said. "Plus, nine years of losing the other way, you have to try something. Don't you think?"

Also, part of the revised focus is better pitching and defense -- both weaknesses in the past. Reds pitching staffs have routinely been around the National League's bottom in team ERA the past eight years. Last season's defense was second from the bottom in the NL.

Here's guessing that this story gets covered as "the Reds will run more in 2009," but actually, Baker seems to be talking about well-rounded-ness. Teams that have a more complete makeup have a better chance to win.

How many single-dimension offenses relying on the home run win championships? Not many. Last year's Chicago White Sox succeeded in winning a division with a homer-only approach. They didn't go any further.

Lachey throwing out Reds first pitch

Now this is breaking news! Nick Lachey will throw out "baseball's first pitch" when he does so for the Cincinnati Reds' Opening Day.

"Hopefully, I won't embarrass myself like our good mayor," said Lachey, a huge Reds, Bengals and University of Cincinnati sports fan. He watched Bob Huggins' homecoming ceremony, before the UC-West Virginia basketball game, on ESPN Thursday from his Los Angeles home.

"I was thrilled to see Huggs get such a great response from the crowd," he said.

I think Nick's already managed to do that a time or two, no?

Orioles trade Hernandez for Freel; Wieters to benefit

A busy day at the winter meetings with hardly anything getting done. One trade to comment on from Tuesday with the Orioles sending catcher Ramon Hernandez to the Reds for utilityman Ryan Freel and two minor leaguers. The Reds get their quality starting catcher while the Orioles will use Freel in center field or wherever they see fit.

Freel had mixed emotions about the trade.

"It's hard to say right now," he said on a conference call. "A piece of me feels excitement and a piece of me is upset about the relationship I've had with Cincinnati. It's tough. One thing in life is you can't look in the past. You have to look in the future. I'm torn."

Freel said he had already spoken with MacPhail, but they didn't go into specifics about what Freel's role would be next season. MacPhail said Freel would play some in center field.

"They're excited to have me," Freel said. "I'm looking forward to a healthy upcoming season."

Freel's role as a heavily-used part-time player probably won't change much, and Hernandez should continue to be an above-average offensive catcher, even if he hit just .257 in 2008.

The most intriguing aspect of this deal is Matt Wieters, the Orioles likely replacement for Hernandez.

"This trade was more about Matt Wieters, frankly," MacPhail said. "It had been our goal to make sure we could introduce Matt into the major league scene somewhere over the course of the '09 season, not necessarily to start right away, but we thought he could handle it eventually after a little time in Triple-A possibly under his belt. We knew that would create a situation where we were going to have to split some playing time with him and Ramon, and we knew Ramon wouldn't be happy about that."

Wieters looks like the real deal. He's 6'5, 230, bats both, and hit .355 with 27 homers between Class A and Double-A. He's going to be coveted on fantasy draftboards as a potential breakthrough player in 2009.

Dye rumor dies

The Chicago White Sox denied the rumor that they are dealing Jermaine Dye to Cincinnati for Homer Bailey.

But Bailey remains an intriguing prospect because of his 95-m.p.h. fastball and Sox general manager Ken Williams' penchant for acquiring top prospects who could benefit from a change of scenery.

That was the case in previous years with Gavin Floyd and Carlos Quentin.

That much may be true, but Williams just dealt Javier Vazquez to Atlanta for prospects, and he acquired Ken Griffey from the Reds last season, then let him go in the offseason. That means it is unlikely that he trades Dye, arguably his most productive right-handed bat over multiple seasons, for another underachieving pitcher with pedigree.

This rumor sounded far-fetched in the first place. Now it's dead.

Sell radio, buy players

The Cincinnati Reds are far from returning to the "Big Red Machine" days of the 1970s, but they're going back to a radio-selling formula from that era that's produced a precision money-maker that could make Cincinnati buyers this offseason.

The Reds' decision to start selling their own advertising for their radio game broadcasts is contributing to an increase in revenue that could translate into a player payroll of around $80 million for the coming season, up from $74.1 million in 2008.
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Reds chief operating officer Phil Castellini said radio revenue is up 30 percent over the previous three years and total corporate sales revenue is up 140 percent over the same period.

"We put 100 percent of that into the team," Castellini said. "So you look at the payroll, which is published every year, and figure it out."

How many teams are taking this approach? It's no YES Network, but when you can spread around some extra cash, good things can happen.