Sunday, November 16, 2008

There's no crying over recessions in baseball

Here's a NY Times article on the buoyancy of baseball during economic down times.
Sports leagues like the N.B.A., the N.F.L. and Major League Baseball are fairy-tale lands, an otherworld of packed stadiums, charter flights, multimillion-dollar training facilities, multimillion-dollar player contracts paid by multibillionaire owners.

Yet in a time of severe economic crisis, the leagues, at least for now, are holding forth, if not completely thriving.

Several theories explain why these sports leagues — especially baseball — thrive when money is tight. Baseball, to a greater extent than the N.F.L. and the N.B.A., is dependent on gate receipts. When families begin to feel the economic pinch and stay home rather than take a long trip, many choose to attend baseball games.
I think each moment such as this is different than one that came before it. Baseball needs to be careful. Ticket sales were down last year, and tickets are as pricey as ever at most parks. There's more out there entertainment-wise than ever before, so baseball better not just rely on the economics of yesteryear and think that they'll float through the lean times as easily as before.

Proefrock Phils' assistant GM

The Phillies signed a new assistant GM to fill the vacancy left by now General Manager Ruben Amaro, Jr.
The Phillies selected Proefrock over Jim Duquette, a former GM with the Mets and Orioles; Wayne Krivsky, a former GM with the Reds; and Muzzy Jackson, a former assistant GM with the Royals.

Proefrock, a native of Wilmington, De., will play a major role in contract negotiations and other administrative duties. Prior to joining the Orioles in Oct. 2005, he spent 10 1/2 years in a similar capacity with the Rays.
Sounds like the Phillies got the guy they wanted. I'm guessing that happens when you win the World Series.

K-Rod not in Mets future

So much for the K-Rod to the Mets rumors. Both the team and Rodriguez's agent refute rumors that he's headed to the Big Apple.
A Mets official who preferred his name not be used characterized the report in El Universal as "not true," and agent Paul Kinzer said his client was in Venezuela and that the report was inaccurate.

Mets general manager Omar Minaya didn't respond to a telephone call.

"Unless I know nothing about it, there's no truth to it," Kinzer said via cellular phone from the Atlanta area. He said he had spoken with his client, who had told a reporter in Venezuela of the need for a flight for business purposes. "But it wasn't for a physical," Kinzer said. "It didn't involve this."
Kerry Wood Mets rumors should start to fly any time now.

Northside Unit

Paul Sullivan of the Chicago Tribune wonders if the Cubs should pick up Randy Johnson.
Is it really crazy stupid?

Johnson has a career 91-35 record in day games, and his 2.41 earned-run average in the second-half of 2008 suggests he’s not cooked yet. But he also served up 24 home runs, and is a fly ball pitcher like fellow lefty Ted Lilly. We all know he’s not exactly a warm and fuzzy guy, but that shouldn’t matter to Hendry if Dempster leaves and he has to find a replacement.
But he's 45 and unreliable from a health standpoint. That means he's a stop-gap option at best. Johnson will not be a Cub if they can get anyone else of ability.

Thursday, November 13, 2008

Cubs trade for Gregg

The Cubs may not be bringing back Kerry Wood. They traded a minor leaguer for Kevin Gregg today. Gregg has closer capabilities, and coupled with Carlos Marmol, he could fill either the setup role or the closing role for the Cubs in 2009. Here's the release:
CHICAGO – The Chicago Cubs today acquired right-handed pitcher Kevin Gregg from the Florida Marlins for minor league right-handed pitcher Jose Ceda.

Gregg, 30, went 7-8 with 29 saves, four holds and a 3.41 ERA (26 ER/68.2 IP) in 72 relief appearances for the Marlins last season. He tied for the National League lead with seven relief wins, ranked eighth in the league in saves and 11th with a .203 batting average against, including a .181 batting average (21-for-116) by left-handed hitters and a .222 batting average (30-for-135) by right-handed hitters.

In 2008, Gregg posted a 2.92 ERA or less in five of his six calendar months, closing the season with nine scoreless outings in September. In a three-month period from May 6-August 12, Gregg went 3-2 with 21 saves, a 1.86 ERA (8 ER/38.2 IP) and a .165 batting average against (23-for-139).

Since pitching exclusively in relief the last two seasons, Gregg has stranded 32 of his 36 inherited runners, an 88.9 percent success rate. He stranded 15 of 16 inherited runners last season, a 93.8 percent success rate.

Gregg recorded a 3.48 ERA (59 ER/152.2 IP), a .205 batting average against (114-for-557) and 61 saves in 146 relief appearances for Florida from 2007-08. The 6-foot-6, 238-pounder struck out 145 batters in 152.2 innings pitched, an average of 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings, and allowed only 10 home runs, an average of one per 15 innings pitched in the last two campaigns. Gregg went 2-3 with 13 saves and a 2.56 ERA (9 ER/31.2 IP) in 28 appearances against the National League Central during the last two seasons.

The righthander joined the Marlins prior to the 2007 campaign in a trade from the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, where he spent the first four seasons of his major league career (2003-06). In his first season in Florida, Gregg set a career high with 74 relief appearances and 32 saves, which tied for eighth in the National League, while stranding 17 of his 20 inherited runners.

Gregg is 18-21 with 62 saves and a 4.00 ERA (181 ER/407.2 IP) in 271 major league appearances, all but eight in relief. He appeared in the 2004 and 2005 postseasons with the Angels, combining to toss four scoreless relief innings in two appearances. A native of Corvallis, OR, Gregg was originally selected by Oakland in the 15th round of the 1996 Draft. He signed with the Angels as a minor league free agent prior to the 2003 campaign.

Ceda, 21, combined to go 4-3 with nine saves and a 3.83 ERA (36 ER/84.2 IP) in 37 appearances (12 starts) between Single-A Daytona and Double-A Tennessee in 2008. The Cubs acquired the righthander from San Diego for infielder Todd Walker and cash considerations on July 31, 2006.

Managers of the Year

Congratulations to Joe Maddon and Lou Piniella for winnings American League and National League Manager of the year, respectively.

Maddon was an obvious pick, but Piniella had to fend off the likes of Joe Torre and Freddie Gonzalez to lock up the N.L. award. In the end, it looks like voters went with Piniella for guiding the Cubs to the N.L.'s best record.

No Holliday heading to Oakland

Beyond the Boxscore asks that we not assume Matt Holliday's production will falter now that he's leaving Coors Field for a more pitcher-friendly home park in Oakland. Among them:
Players perform better at home than on the road, all else being equal. That's what causes a home-field advantage! Across MLB in 2008, the average home OPS was .770 while the average road OPS was .730.
I think Holliday will do fine away from Coors, but his fantasy stats will not likely be those of a first-round pick like they have in the past. Holliday is not just switching parks, he's switching leagues, which means he's adjusting to seeing a lot of new pitchers, too.

Phils Assistant GM Search down to two

Whether or not the Phillies have success finalizing contracts in the future will depend greatly on this decision.

Thursday, November 6, 2008

Leaving for the Leafs?

Former Phillies GM Pat Gillick will not return to the Toronto Blue Jays as team president, but he may consider a much different move to Toronto instead: general manager for the Toronto Maple Leafs.
"I might be interested in something other than baseball," he said.

Gillick also has a prior business relationship with Gordon Kirke, the man who has teamed with interim Leafs boss Cliff Fletcher to find a new hockey chief for Maple Leafs Sports and Entertainment Ltd.

Although he denied that he has been contacted about the job, Gillick left the door open to a move from MLB to the NHL.

"I probably would be interested in doing something like that, you know, something different," he said. "It could be hockey."
I don't see this happening. We're in the middle of the hockey season, and Gillick (71) will likely be retired away to Seattle before the next hockey offseason. This is probably a reporter drumming up something to write about. Still, it would be intriguing to see a baseball guy suddenly shift gears into hockey.

Hunting for Pence

I think it's very difficult to pick the top nine National League defensive players for the Gold Glove. I don't pay much attention to the award, because it is difficult to judge players on their defensive performance. So many factors go into how good a player is defensively, and some of those factors are practically immeasurable from watching a game on television.

That said, I'm surprised Hunter Pence didn't earn himself the award this season. The Astros outfielder matched Gold Glove winner Nate McClouth's fielding percentage (.997) and was better than Gold Glovers Shane Victorino (.994) and Carlos Beltran (.993). Pence gunned down 16 base runners from the outfield which was tied for most in the majors. He also played for the best defensive team in the league, and somehow Houston didn't earn a single Gold Glover.

Pence is not the most graceful fielder in the world, but he's done a competent job for the Astros.

Manny being money

Dodgers GM Ned Colletti offered Manny Ramirez a contract worth somewhere in the $22.9 to $27.5 million range per year. While that's a ton of money, especially for a player who turns 37 in May and was unceremoniously run out of Boston in the middle of a pennant race, in this case it is worth it.
"If you saw the bid, it's nothing that we're embarrassed by," Colletti said at the GM meetings. "Manny was close to that number, anyway — closer to that area than the last place he's been."

Most likely, the Dodgers offered Ramirez a two-year contract worth just over $50 million. Colletti said the Dodgers also offered an option year, but declined to specify the exact length of contract.

"We said, 'Think about it for a while. It's not going to be there forever,"' Colletti said. "Things are always subject to change, and it depends on what else we do, to some extent. I've been asked a few times here if we're going to wait to see what happens with this before we do anything else. But I'm not sure we're going to have the luxury to do that. If there's something else that comes about that we feel we need to do, and the timeliness is there to do it, we'll have to do it."
The Dodgers would be smart to tie up a slugger for the next two seasons. Ramirez is something they haven't had in a long time (he hit .520 in the playoffs!), and even if he does decline the Dodgers would only be on the hook for a couple of seasons. That's nothing.

Now Gwynn needs to win

Tony Gwynn will continue to coach at San Diego State after signing a three-year deal. Anyone who thought Gwynn's original hiring was a PR stunt for the school should probably reconsider. He's been coaching at SDSU now for six years, so his current contract will make it nearly a full decade as head coach.

The length of his stay, however, should up the ante a bit for Gwynn. He's just 173-190 in his six seasons at the helm. That's not a terrible record, but for someone who should have an almost unlimited ability to recruit, wouldn't you expect something better?
“We're judged on how many games we win or lose, but college coaching is a whole lot more than that,” Gwynn said. “The average fan is not going to pay attention to the other part. They just want to see if you're playing in a regional in late May or June.

“But it's more than just baseball.

“I think they trust me enough that I'm going to make good decisions. They trust me enough that I'm going to teach these young men what they need to know to become men. I keep talking about how important the baseball is, but there's more to it than that.

“We need to teach our kids that you need to get out there and be part of your community. Do stuff. And try to help other people while you're helping yourself.”

Free agent list

As of Wednesday there were 166 players who had filed for free agency. A.J. Burnett's status is not yet official, so he has not been added to the current pool. Here's the list:

AMERICAN LEAGUE
BALTIMORE (4) -- Juan Castro, ss; Alex Cintron, ss; Kevin Millar, 1b; Jay Payton, of.
BOSTON (9) -- Paul Byrd, rhp; Sean Casey, 1b; Bartolo Colon, rhp; Alex Cora, ss; Mark Kotsay, of; David Ross, c; Curt Schilling, rhp; Mike Timlin, rhp; Jason Varitek, c.
CHICAGO (6) -- Orlando Cabrera, ss; Joe Crede, 3b; Ken Griffey Jr., of; Toby Hall, c; Horacio Ramirez, lhp; Juan Uribe, 3b.
CLEVELAND (4) -- Brendan Donnelly, rhp; Scott Elarton, rhp; Sal Fasano, c; Juan Rincon, rhp.
DETROIT (6) -- Kyle Farnsworth, rhp; Casey Fossum, lhp; Freddy Garcia, rhp; Todd Jones, rhp; Edgar Renteria, ss; Vance Wilson, c.
KANSAS CITY (1) -- Mark Grudzielanek, 2b.
LOS ANGELES (6) -- Garret Anderson, of; Jon Garland, rhp; Darren Oliver, lhp; Juan Rivera, of; Francisco Rodriguez, rhp; Mark Teixeira, 1b.
MINNESOTA (4) -- Adam Everett, ss; Eddie Guardado, lhp; Nick Punto, ss; Dennys Reyes, lhp.
NEW YORK (8) -- Bobby Abreu, of; Jason Giambi, 1b; c-Damaso Marte, lhp; Chad Moeller, c; Mike Mussina, rhp; Carl Pavano, rhp; Sidney Ponson, rhp; Ivan Rodriguez, c.
OAKLAND (4) -- Emil Brown, of; Alan Embree, lhp; Keith Foulke, rhp; Frank Thomas, dh.
SEATTLE (3) -- Willie Bloomquist, of; Miguel Cairo, inf; Raul Ibanez, of.
TAMPA BAY (4) -- Rocco Baldelli, dh; Cliff Floyd, dh; Eric Hinske, of; Trever Miller, lhp.
TEXAS (5) -- c-Hank Blalock, 1b; Milton Bradley, dh; Jason Jennings, rhp; Ramon Vazquez, 3b; Jamey Wright, rhp.
TORONTO (3) -- John Parrish, lhp; Brad Wilkerson, of; Gregg Zaun, c.
------
NATIONAL LEAGUE
ARIZONA (6) -- Tony Clark, 1b; Juan Cruz, rhp; Adam Dunn, of; David Eckstein, ss; Orlando Hudson, 2b; Brandon Lyon, rhp.
ATLANTA (8) -- Elmer Dessens, rhp; Tom Glavine, lhp; Mike Hampton, lhp; Jorge Julio, rhp; Greg Norton, of; Will Ohman, lhp; John Smoltz, rhp; Julian Tavarez, rhp.
CHICAGO (8) -- Henry Blanco, c; Ryan Dempster, rhp; Jim Edmonds, of; Chad Fox, rhp; Bob Howry, rhp; Jon Lieber, rhp; Daryle Ward, 1b; Kerry Wood, rhp.
CINCINNATI (9) -- Jeremy Affeldt, lhp; Paul Bako, c; Josh Fogg, rhp; Jerry Hairston Jr., of; Mike Lincoln, rhp; Kent Mercker, lhp; Corey Patterson, of; Javier Valentin, c; David Weathers, rhp.
COLORADO (6) -- Brian Fuentes, lhp; Matt Herges, rhp; Livan Hernandez, rhp; Adam Melhuse, c; Scott Podsednik, of; Glendon Rusch, lhp.
FLORIDA (4) -- Luis Gonzalez, of; Mark Hendrickson, lhp; Paul Lo Duca, c; Arthur Rhodes, lhp,
HOUSTON (5) -- Brad Ausmus, c; Doug Brocail, rhp; LaTroy Hawkins, rhp; Mark Loretta, 2b; Randy Wolf, lhp.
LOS ANGELES (12) -- Joe Beimel, lhp; Gary Bennett, c; Casey Blake, 3b; Rafael Furcal, ss; Nomar Garciaparra, ss; Jason Johnson, rhp; Jeff Kent, 2b; Derek Lowe, rhp; Greg Maddux, rhp; Chan Ho Park, rhp; Manny Ramirez, of; Mark Sweeney, 1b.
MILWAUKEE (10) -- Russell Branyan, 3b; Craig Counsell, 3b; Ray Durham, 2b; Eric Gagne, rhp; Gabe Kapler, of; Mike Lamb, 3b; Guillermo Mota, rhp; CC Sabathia, lhp; Ben Sheets, rhp; Brian Shouse, lhp.
NEW YORK (11) -- Moises Alou, of; Tony Armas Jr., rhp; Luis Ayala, rhp; Damion Easley, 2b; Orlando Hernandez, rhp; Pedro Martinez, rhp; Ramon Martinez, 2b; Trot Nixon, of; Oliver Perez, lhp; Ricardo Rincon, lhp; Matt Wise, rhp.
PHILADELPHIA (2) -- Tom Gordon, rhp; Rudy Seanez, rhp.
PITTSBURGH (4) -- Chris Gomez, 3b; Jason Michaels, of; Doug Mientkiewicz, 1b; Luis Rivas, ss..
ST. LOUIS (8) -- Jason Isringhausen, rhp; Cesar Izturis, ss; Jason LaRue, c; Braden Looper, rhp; Felipe Lopez, 2b; Mark Mulder, lhp; Russ Springer, rhp; Ron Villone, lhp.
SAN DIEGO (2) -- Trevor Hoffman, rhp; Mark Prior, rhp.
SAN FRANCISCO (2) -- Rich Aurilia, 1b; Omar Vizquel, ss.
WASHINGTON (2) -- Aaron Boone, 1b; Odalis Perez, lhp.

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Not exactly outsourcing

Indian baseball players? This truly is a historic November.

Burnett clock ticking

A.J. Burnett chose to opt out of his contract with the Blue Jays Tuesday, but that doesn't mean he's out the door just yet.
"I don't think anyone is surprised (that Burnett opted out)," said Blue Jay general manager J.P. Ricciardi by phone from Dana Point, Calif., where baseball's 30 GMs are meeting this week.

"Now he can gauge what the interest is.

"We have not yet made a formal offer, as to financial terms or length of contract. He's played his bargaining chip and now he's going to see if it's worthwhile. When he finds out what's out there, we'll let that get under the bridge before we get specific (about an offer)."

That the Jays have not yet made an offer should not be seen as indifference. Just as Burnett must learn what the market will bear so, too, must the Jays before they make their move.
That market will be a lot more attractive to Burnett and his agent south of the border. If Burnett isn't a Yankee by Christmas, I'll be shocked.

Thursday, October 30, 2008

Griffey trade a failure for White Sox

The White Sox declined a $16.5 million option on Ken Griffey Jr., making the eventual hall of famer a free agent.
The 38-year old hit a combined .249 with 18 homers and 71 RBIs in 143 games last season for the Reds and the White Sox. Griffey batted .260 with three homers and 18 RBIs in 41 games with the White Sox, who acquired him July 31 in a trade that sent right-hander Nick Masset and infielder Danny Richar to Cincinnati.
Considering the White Sox are unlikely to bring back Orlando Cabrera at shortstop, and that the Sox are likely to move Alexei Ramirez from second to short, dealing Richar away leaves a strange mix at second for the Sox.

Juan Uribe can be brought back, and Chris Getz will get a look, but lost in the Sox declining of Griffey was the pickup made by the Southsiders. The White Sox agreed to a one-year contract with former Rockies second baseman Jayson Nix, who ended up playing mostly at Triple-A once Ian Stewart won the big league job. Richar was considered a possible starter for the Sox at second in spring training '08, while Uribe was the fallback option and Ramirez the wildcard. Now the Sox only have the fallback option at second, plus the rookie, Getz. Nix, another fallback, might end up with the job.

For three homers and 18 RBI in 41 games, bringing in Griffey certainly didn't do much for the Sox.

Morrissey calls for less games

Chicago columnist Rick Morrissey explores the idea of a 130-game MLB season. Weather, as usual in these types of columns, is the culprit, according to Morrissey.
Now I know this would play havoc with statistics. Records we hold dear would likely never be broken again because of the shortened schedule. But let's keep in mind that the steroids era has taken a sledgehammer to the record books anyway. The home run records, in particular, are silly.

Anyone who has had to sit through a game in the spring knows it can be a wretched experience, at least in Chicago, especially when the wind has kicked up and the cold air hasn't received the memo about summer being somewhere on the horizon.
I agree that stats hold less meaning than ever in baseball these days thanks to performance enhancing drugs. That said, I think there is a simple solution to the beginning of April weather issues in cold-weather cities that can still allow for a 162-game season: don't play in the North outdoors until the third week of April.

Baseball should schedule the first two full weeks of games in warm-weather cities and cities with domes. By the middle of the month there is less chance for snow in Chicago or Cleveland or anywhere else they play baseball in the North. Either way, here's hoping the Twins never host an opening day in their new open-air ballpark during the first week of April. Yikes!

Update: Same newspaper, different columnist, with a similar view point to Spitting Seeds.

You can't knock the Macha move, or can you?

Cubs fans can breathe a sigh of relief; Ken Macha was named Brewers manager. Bob Brenly, Cubs color analyst, was up for the job, but Bob Melvin and company went with the former A's skipper instead.
"One of the things I'm going to enjoy here I think is the relationship with Doug," said Macha, who spent the last two years as a television analyst. "He's been very honest with me, straightforward. He's more of a delegator. He's going to let me go out and do my job as a manager and I'm going to be very grateful for that."

That's a far cry from Oakland, where Macha took the A's to a pair of AL West titles but had an odd relationship with general manager Billy Beane and lost his job after the 2005 season for a week only to return in 2006.
...
Macha also tried to dispel the notion that he'd lost touch with his players in Oakland, including Jason Kendall, now the Brewers catcher.

"I've got a couple things to say about that. No. 1, the job of the manager is really not to be buddies with all the players. You have to make very difficult decisions over the course of the year," he said. "Sometimes players get a little personal and think it's personal. It really isn't."
Sounds like an imperfect match for a team that nearly imploded on itself for a second straight season, but to his credit Macha built a pretty impressive resume in Oakland with a 368-260 record. Still, Oakland got swept out of the 2006 ALCS by Detroit, and Brenly has a World Series under his belt. That, and a very deep knowledge of the team Milwaukee chased all season long.

Jacobs dealt to KC

The Marlins traded slugging first baseman Mike Jacobs to Kansas City for right-handed reliever Leo Nunez. Jacobs can rip, but can he make contact?
Jacobs, 28, set careers highs with 32 homers and 93 RBIs last season, but his on-base percentage was just .299 and he struck out 119 times in 447 at-bats.

Jacobs also could have received a big raise in salary arbitration, an unpalatable scenario for the spendthrift Marlins, who must deal with a whopping 17 arbitration-eligible players this winter.
So much for that $40 million bubble the Marlins will spend toward this offseason. They'll probably throw a fair amount of it at players they already have on the roster.

As for Jacobs, he gives the Royals what Billy Butler couldn't: a lot of pop. He won't give them or your fantasy team much else. Treat Nunez as a middle reliever. He doesn't project as anything else at this time.

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Addressing the rain delay issue

The Boston Globe tackles Spitting Seeds' position on baseball's Waterlogged decision making Monday night: get something in writing so this doesn't happen again.
There is expected to be discussion this winter on what some see as a flaw that has fallen through the cracks in the 105-year history of the World Series.

The fact that commissioner Bud Selig said he had sole discretion to suspend Game 5 no matter what the score seemed like seat-of-the-pants manage ment that doesn't cast Major League Baseball in the best light.
This needs to be sorted out.